Played a mirror match of this one with Andy.
This is an impossible situation for the French. I marched the French to a major defeat. Andy pulled out a minor defeat, but I made two colossal blunders in the game as the Allies. (Note: Do not drink and wargame.) Even with my blunders, there was no way I could see the French pulling out even a draw unless they chose to just march off the map and not engage.
I'm not sure how to balance it better. The Allies have a very strong defensive position full of village hexes and walls. Their 2-line infantry will tear the French apart. I know historically it was not a great idea for the French to attack this position, and in that respect, the scenario plays out appropriately.
If you are looking for a scenario where both sides have an equal chance of winning, this is not it.
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